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Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Updated Jan 1, 10:30 AM

Probability

Market

Current prediction market price

13.2%

→

Estimate

AI probability estimate

14.5%

Edge

Percentage difference between AI estimate and market price relative to market price

+10.3%

Signal

Hold

Probability Comparison

10.3% edge

0%25%50%75%100%

Market 13.2%

Estimate 14.5%

Factor Impact

Supporting Factors

League-leading scoring offense and Stafford/Adams/Nacua trio

Current +550 sportsbook odds suggest higher ceiling than prediction market

Opposing Factors

Difficult road-only playoff path as a Wild Card seed

Defensive unit ranked 16th overall may struggle against elite NFC offenses

AI Summary

Unlock Research, Analysis and create What-if Scenarios with Projections

Superforecaster-grade AI

The analysis engine that thinks like an expert.

Multi-phase research with live data, contrarian analysis, and calibrated probability estimates.

Deep Research Report

Multi-phase superforecaster analysis

ANALYZING

Will the Fed cut rates in March?

Live Web SearchScanning 50+ sources

Multi-Factor Analysis

Contrarian Check

Superforecaster Synthesis

Deep Research Reports

A four-phase analysis pipeline inspired by superforecaster methodology. First, we search 50+ live sources for breaking news and data. Then we weigh evidence, check for contrarian views, and synthesize a calibrated probability with cited sources and pre-mortem analysis to catch blind spots.

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What-If Projections

Link scenarios to see compounded effects

BTC above $150k by EOY

Current: 52%

Linked What-If Projections

Model how future events could cascade and compound. Link multiple scenarios together and watch the AI calculate how each one affects probability — including interactions where scenarios reinforce, contradict, or diminish each other. Build decision trees to see the full range of possible outcomes.

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The AI assistant powering smarter predictions.

αiphamarket helps traders make informed decisions by analyzing markets, identifying edge, and providing actionable insights powered by Gemini.

360°

Analysis that actively seeks opposing viewpoints and blind spots before you trade.

8%

Average edge identified in analyzed markets compared to market price.

Market

Estimated Edge

Questions & Answers

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Feature

Price

Deep Research Four-phase superforecaster analysis with live web search, contrarian views, and calibrated probabilities.	$0.156
Generate Projections Generate 2 AI-powered what-if scenarios with probability impacts and timeline linking.	$0.125
Create Projection Add a single custom scenario to your timeline with AI-calculated probability impact.	$0.063
Timeline Adjust Recalculate your timeline when market conditions or scenario probabilities change.	$0.025

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